Monday, March 26, 2007

Live blogging the results

I'll make a few notes as I listen in online: (all times PDT)

5:46 - ADQ tied with the Liberals? WTF? Antonio's not going to be happy at all
Greens up in 1 riding. Do we have our surprise riding, like Andre Arthur in the last federal election?

5:47 - ADQ ahead? What is going on here?

5:49 - 45-42-34 right now. Nice to see the PQ down a bit, and I can't see them winning it with this, but could the ADQ actually hang on?

5:50 - 46-44-33

5:52 - SRC has it a bit nicer: 48-36-28-1 for Lib-ADQ-PQ-QS

5:54 - Although on their minute-by-minute results, they have it 46-44-33, same as CBC. I don't think anyone predicted the ADQ would be in this tight.

5:56 - ADQ actually polling ahead of the PQ in total votes so far. Either it's going to be a stunning defeat for the PQ or else ADQ regions are faster to count.

6:00 - Charest is trailing in his own riding. Man would it be huge if both the PQ came in a stunning loss AND Charest lost his own seat. Politics would be crazy in Quebec

6:02 - CBC predicts a minority. Geez, you think, based on how it's been so far? At this point, it may even end up within 10 seats from first to last

6:06 - CBC's website has the ADQ ahead of the Liberals in total votes!!!! Has the world gone tipsy-turvy?

6:12 - I thought it was temporary, but the ADQ is still ahead in votes as well. I think we'll be going late to figure out who's going to end up in the lead.

6:15 - Elected numbers stand as 31-20-17 for Lib-ADQ-PQ. So the ADQ has already had 15 seat gain elected

6:17 - Still only 40% of the riding in, but Charest is down 2482-2277 in votes in his riding.

6:29 - Well, I think I'll call the PQ being stuck at about 34-36, so we've got 90 seats to split between the Libs and the ADQ. CBC's got the Libs up by a few seats now.

6:38 - CBC.ca's got a PQ guy on who was trying to claim that it wasn't a loss for separatists. Okay, that's like saying that the Conservatives winning the Federal election is good for left-wing voters of the country

6:40 - Liberals back ahead in seats, 46-43/44 (depending who you watch). Charest still losing. If the Liberals win in seats, but Charest loses his seat, does he step down?

6:53 - Liberals 4 seats ahead of the ADQ, with only 15 seats still in the air. Liberals looking like they should actually hold on.

7:01 - Liberals now elected in more ridings than the ADQ are leading and elected in, so looking a lot like they should be staying in power. However, barring a miracle, Charest is gone from his riding. You also have to watch out, since CBC now has the PQ only 2 seats behind the ADQ, so with a last push by them, it would be interesting if they got back to tie with Dumont.

7:06 - CBC predicts Liberals win.

7:09 - Looks like the PQ isn't close in any of the undeclared ridings, so they'll stay in last. Also, Calgary Grit has musings of Charest stepping down and running federally for Harper. Certainly should make for some good chatter in the next few weeks.

7:20 - Well, stuff seems to have calmed down now. 46-41-38 right now. I think I'll sign off for now and head home now. The PQ doesn't end as bad in seats as they looked earlier, but 28.35% of the vote is horrible for them. CBC just declares that Charest lost his riding, so expect lots of hounds over the next few days for both the Liberals and the PQ.

9:12 - In a move that shocks everyone except Antonio, it seems Charest actually won his riding. That should probably stop the load of people calling for him to quit.

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